2024 Presidential Election Polls: Biden and Harris Lead Early

National Poll Average

Joe Biden has been trailing Donald Trump in the national polling average for most of 2023. However, recent polls have shown a shift in momentum, with Biden now leading by an average of 2.5 points.

Key Findings

• Biden's lead is driven by gains among Black voters, who now support him by a margin of 78% to 18%.
• Trump's support has remained relatively steady, with 44% of voters saying they would vote for him.
• The race remains close, with both candidates within the margin of error.

State Polls

Biden also leads in most state polls. He is ahead by an average of 3 points in Florida, 5 points in Pennsylvania, and 6 points in Michigan.

Implications

These polls suggest that Biden is the frontrunner in the 2024 presidential race. However, Trump remains a formidable opponent, and the race is likely to remain close until Election Day.